Politics
A Vote of Confidence, What’s at Stake for German Chancellor Olaf Scholz?
As Germany faces significant economic challenges, Chancellor Olaf Scholz has taken the rare step of submitting a vote of confidence to parliament. The decision, marking the first time a German Chancellor has done so in nearly two decades, underscores the gravity of the situation. On Monday, German MPs will vote, determining not only Scholz’s political future but also the direction of Europe’s largest economy.
Why a Vote of Confidence Now?
The vote comes amid mounting economic instability. Germany, once the powerhouse of the European Union, is grappling with a range of crises in key industries such as automotive, iron, and steel. Economic growth projections remain dismal, lagging behind other nations. Against this backdrop, Scholz’s leadership faces increasing scrutiny.
Political analyst Dr. Hajo Funke points out that the stakes are high, not only for Scholz and his Social Democratic Party (SPD) but also for the broader coalition government. According to Dr. Funke, the SPD and the Greens aim to collaborate with the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) on pressing economic and social reforms. However, political maneuvering complicates the situation.
“The Union is tactically a bit in the trap,” says Dr. Funke. “If it doesn’t [cooperate], then it shows that it is socially and economically disinterested… On the other hand, it wants to tell voters that it is doing everything better.”
This delicate balance will likely lead to compromises between the governing parties and the CDU. These compromises are essential to maintaining voter trust ahead of the upcoming elections.
Germany’s Economic Turmoil
Germany’s economic instability cannot be overstated. Dr. Funke highlights the dramatic crises engulfing several sectors, including:
- Automotive Industry: Once a global leader, the industry faces declining competitiveness and challenges in transitioning to electric vehicles.
- Iron and Steel Production: These industries are struggling under the weight of high energy costs and global competition.
- Suppliers: Economic pressures on suppliers ripple throughout the economy, deepening the crisis.
With economic growth prospects dim, Germany’s political leadership is under pressure to address key issues. These include implementing policies to reduce cold progression (a form of tax bracket creep), tackling rental price inflation, continuing financial support for Ukraine, and adhering to environmental and infrastructure commitments such as the Taurus decision.
The Political Fallout: What Happens Next?
The vote of confidence, scheduled for Monday, will test Scholz’s ability to lead through adversity. If Scholz loses the vote, German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier would have three weeks to dissolve parliament. This move could set the stage for snap elections as early as February 23, 2024.
According to recent polls, the CDU currently leads, but political campaigns and voter sentiment can shift rapidly. As Dr. Funke notes, the months leading up to the election will likely see intense debates and negotiations over Germany’s economic and social policies.
The Road Ahead
Germany stands at a crossroads. The outcome of the vote of confidence will determine whether Scholz’s government continues to address the country’s challenges or whether the public will opt for new leadership in early 2024. For now, all eyes are on Berlin, where Monday’s parliamentary vote may mark a turning point in Germany’s political and economic trajectory.
Politics
EU summit discusses EU’s role in the world
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Politics
European Parliament Elects Teresa Anjinho as New European Ombudsman
In a decisive move to enhance transparency and accountability within the European Union, the European Parliament has elected Teresa Anjinho as the new European Ombudsman for the 2025-2029 term. Anjinho, a distinguished Portuguese lawyer and former Deputy Ombudsman of Portugal, succeeds Emily O’Reilly, who has held the position since 2013.
A Competitive Selection Process
The election, held during the December plenary session in Strasbourg, followed a rigorous selection process. The Committee on Petitions (PETI) conducted public hearings on December 3, 2024, where six candidates presented their visions for the Ombudsman‘s role. The candidates included:
- Teresa Anjinho (Portugal): Former Deputy Portuguese Ombudsman.
- Emilio De Capitani (Italy): Former European Parliament official.
- Marino Fardelli (Italy): Ombudsman of the Lazio region.
- Julia Laffranque (Estonia): Former judge of the European Court of Human Rights.
- Claudia Mahler (Austria): Human rights expert.
- Reinier van Zutphen (Netherlands): Ombudsman of the Netherlands.
Each candidate outlined their priorities, ranging from enhancing communication and human rights awareness to strengthening trust between EU institutions and citizens. Anjinho emphasized effective communication, human rights awareness, and empowering individual complaints, which resonated with the Members of the European Parliament (MEPs).
The Role of the European Ombudsman
Established by the Maastricht Treaty in 1995, the European Ombudsman investigates complaints of maladministration within EU institutions, bodies, offices, and agencies. The Ombudsman plays a crucial role in ensuring that EU institutions adhere to principles of good administration, thereby upholding citizens’ rights under the EU Treaties and the EU Charter of Fundamental Rights. The position is pivotal in maintaining transparency, accountability, and trust between EU institutions and the public.
Anjinho’s Vision for the Future
Anjinho’s appointment comes at a time when the EU is striving to strengthen its democratic processes and enhance citizen engagement. Her commitment to launching strategic own-initiative inquiries and fostering partnerships with national ombudsmen’s offices, academic institutions, and civil society representatives is expected to bring a fresh perspective to the Ombudsman’s office. Anjinho aims to build upon the work of her predecessors, focusing on proactive measures to address systemic issues and improve the quality of EU administration.
Looking Ahead
As Anjinho prepares to assume her duties on January 1, 2025, European civil society and politicians anticipate a continuation of the Ombudsman’s essential work in promoting transparency and accountability within the EU. Her tenure is expected to further bridge the gap between EU institutions and citizens, ensuring that the principles of good administration are upheld across all EU bodies.
For more information on the European Ombudsman and the recent election, visit the official European Parliament Think Tank document. European Parliament
Politics
Georgia Police violence in Tbilisi while President Zurabishvili calls for quick EU actions
Police violence // According to the Public Defender of Georgia (Ombudsperson’s Office) that I visited while in Tbilisi, 225 out of 327 detainees interviewed by their representatives claimed to have been victims of ill-treatment and 157 of them had visible physical injuries.
Some statistics about police violence
Along with the beatings, the special forces robbed the detainees, took away their clothes, shoes, mobile phones, bags, wallets, glasses, crosses and other personal belongings – they forced them to say derogatory phrases about themselves or to praise head of the Special Tasks Department, Zviad Kharazishvili (“Khareba”). In some cases, Kharazishvili personally recorded videos of the beaten detainees, the heads of several civil society organizations said in a joint statement.
To crack down on tens of thousands of peaceful demonstrators, the Ministry of Internal Affairs used special equipment, including unknown substances diluted in water jets, pepper spray, tear gas of an unknown substance, and others.
In some cases, before the crackdown began, a special water jet vehicle approached the demonstrators, and a special warning/call to disperse was heard. In some cases, the crackdown on demonstrations began with direct pursuit and arrests of demonstrators, and a warning signal and other means of crackdown were used later.
After using the water jets, the special forces fired a large number of tear gas capsules at tens of thousands of peaceful demonstrators, which made breathing and vision impossible, caused panic, and created a real threat of stampede and chaos.
In a number of cases, peaceful demonstrators who obeyed the call to disperse were ambushed, surrounded, and detained by special forces.
Special forces physically abused detainees, and after they were brought into the special forces cordon, law enforcement officers continued to physically abuse them.
Georgian President Salome Zurabishvili at the European Parliament
On 18 December, Georgian President Salome Zurabishvili delivered a speech to the European Parliament in which she called for active steps to be taken by the EU. About the recent rigged parliamentary election, she compared the current events in Georgia to the Soviet occupation of 1921 and was quoted as saying:
Zurabishvili also stressed in her address to the Parliament that Georgians are not going to accept the Russification of their country and will not stop until they receive new free and fair elections, but for this, they need Western help.
Speaking about the 21 days of protests in Georgia, she said that the protest movement has now encompassed the entire society. She also noted that the protests began earlier, after the adoption of Russian-type laws, and said
“The only time when people in Georgia take to the streets is when they feel that an existential issue is at stake. This is a very peaceful, civil disobedience movement that demands two things: give us back the votes taken away due to the stolen elections and give us back our European future. This is not a revolutionary movement, this is a demand for new elections.”
She also stressed that the attempted construction of a Russian-type state in Georgia is something that is happening gradually and that a large part of the Georgian democratic institutions is already under control of a single-party or one-man rule. Only the opposition media and human rights NGOs are still out of their hand, but for how long.
“Georgians are still waiting for tough measures from Brussels and Washington. And I hope we will not have to wait for a deeper crisis for Europe to act. What can Europe do? First of all, political support. We need constant political attention from the highest levels, because Georgians need to know that they are not alone and that we have your back,” she said.
While the European Parliament called for new elections in Georgia, the EU Member States could only propose a suspension of visa-free travel for Georgian holders of diplomatic and service passports. Tougher sanctions could not be adopted because of the veto of Hungary and Slovakia.
Being asked by some people at the European Parliament who declared to be ready to help her in case she would go into exile, she answered, like President Zelensky in Ukraine in 2022, that she would stay in Georgia to fight alongside the Georgian population and the main support she needed was from the EU. Up to now, Europe has been “slow to wake up and slow to react,” she said, while the Georgians need the EU to act quickly and to avoid a ‘business as usual’ policy.
Over 800 businesses, among them MagtiCom, PSP Pharma, Daily, McDonald’s, SPAR, Veli Store, Magniti, Toyota Center Tbilisi, Alta, PwC Georgia, and Gvirila, this week signed a statement calling for quick actions and new elections, saying “they take responsibility for the fate of the country and its irreversible progress.”
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